CEDIL – Centre for Evaluation Lecture Series
The Centre of Excellence for Development Impact and Learning (CEDIL) and the Centre for Evaluation host a lecture series addressing methods and innovation in primary studies.
Download the CEDIL CfE-Lecture-Series Calendar. Most lectures will be live-streamed, recorded, and posted on this site later.
PREVIOUS LECTURES ARE LISTED BELOW
PARENTING FOR LIFELONG HEALTH: PROGRAMME OPTIMISATION AND SCALE-UP
Date : 24 June 2020
Speakers : Dr Jamie M Lachman & Dr Yulia Shenderovich
ABOUT THE LECTURE
Parenting for Lifelong Health (PLH) is a suite of parenting programmes designed to offer parenting support and reduce violence against children in low- and middle-income countries. The PLH programmes have been evaluated in a number of randomised trials in South Africa, Thailand, Philippines, El Salvador, and Lesotho, with positive effects on a number of child, caregiver, and family outcomes. The presentation will focus on two current research projects aimed at increasing our knowledge on the implementation and scale-up of parenting programmes and other family-based interventions in low- and middle-income countries. First, we will present how the RISE study (www.rise-plh-eu) is applying the Multiphase Optimisation Strategy framework (MOST) to optimise PLH for Young Children for scalability by identifying the most effective and cost-effective components related to programme implementation in North Macedonia, Moldova, and Romania. Second, we will discuss how the Scale-Up of Parenting Evaluation Research (SUPER) study is examining the implementation and scale-up of PLH programmes in over 20 countries around the world for more than 400,000 beneficiaries. We will describe the research question and methods we plan to use to explore programme use in routine service delivery. We will also describe how the COVID-19 pandemic has impacted these studies and the delivery of PLH programmes, and how we have adapted the content for global dissemination in collaboration with UNICEF, WHO, CDC, USAID, and other partners reaching 32 million families in over 173 countries. The lecture can be viewed by following this link: Click here to view the recording
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
IMPACT OF IMPACT EVALUATIONS
Date : 17 June 2020
Speakers : Richard Manning & Ian Goldman
ABOUT THE LECTURE
In 2006 the Center for Global Development’s report ‘When Will We Ever Learn? Improving lives through impact evaluation’ bemoaned the lack of rigorous impact evaluations. The number of impact evaluations has since risen (to over 500 per year), as have those of systematic reviews and other synthesis products. We researched international organizations and countries, including Mexico, Colombia, South Africa, Uganda, and Philippines, to understand how such products are being implemented and used, and what facilitates or inhibits their use. While we see definite progress, we find that:
- Impact evaluations are too often donor-driven, and not embedded in partner governments.
- The willingness of policymakers to take evidence seriously is variable
- The use of evidence is not tracked well enough
- Impact evaluations should be seen within a broader spectrum of tools that support policymakers
- Those who commission them need to learn from good practice in maximising the prospects of use
Slides of the full presentation (including additional slides not included in the original lecture) can be found here: Click here to download the presentation Link to recording: Click here to go to recording (Please note, unfortunately the beginning of the lecture is missing)
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
USING BIG DATA FOR EVALUATING DEVELOPMENT OUTCOMES: LESSONS FOR EVALUATION DURING COVID
Date : 10 June 2020
Speakers : Francis Rathinam and Xavier Vollenweider
Discussant: Federica Di Battista
ABOUT THE LECTURE
Significant data gaps remain in monitoring and evaluating development outcomes. Big data—that is digitally generated, passively produced and automatically collected—offer a great potential for answering some of these data needs. The use of big data in evaluation has become ever more relevant after the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak, which has severely limited the researchers’ opportunity to collect data in the field with traditional methods. In the talk, the authors will present a systematic map highlighting how big data are being innovatively used in measuring and evaluating development outcomes. The authors will also discuss the risks, biases and ethical challenges in using big data. The presentation will offer an opportunity to discuss what tools and technologies are available to conduct evaluation in the time of COVID. Watch the recording here: Link to Recording Francis Rathinam’s slides: Link to Slides Federica Di Battista’s slides: Link to Slides Xavier Vollenwieder’s Slides: Link to slides Please note Xavier’s slides do not include some material shared in the lecture.
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
Xavier is an economist with Flowminder and has a background in environmental and development economics. His interest lies in using novel data sources and techniques to characterise poverty dynamics, climate vulnerability and the adoption of mobile financial services. He received his PhD from the London School of Economics. Federika is an Evaluation Advisor at DFID and the Evaluation Unit’s Trialing Lead, where she is responsible for the development and management of new and existing programmes that focus on experimental methodologies to conduct impact evaluation. She worked for several years in Ghana managing a portfolio of impact evaluation research studies, mainly focused on agriculture and rural development, and holds a PhD from Tor Vergata.
USING SOCIAL SCIENCE THEORIES TO DESIGN AND EVALUATE DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS.
Date : 20 May 2020
Speakers : Annette Brown
Location : Virtual
ABOUT THE LECTURE
Too often those who design programs or evaluations use logic models or results frameworks that rely on causal relationships or mechanisms of change that are assumed. That is, they assume that good activities will lead to good outcomes without considering the social science theories that may (or may not) predict those relationships. Understanding the relevant social science theories is not just crucial for making the right prediction about how program activities will produce outcomes, it is also necessary for identifying what situational assumptions are needed for the prediction to hold. This lecture will give examples of theories in psychology, economics, and political science used to design interventions and explore how these theories have been tested in the field and what we have learned about whether and how they work. It will also include some recommendations for those who want to use theory in their work. The lecture was recorded, and can be viewed at this link: Link to recording To view the slide show please download a copy of the slides here: Slideshow of lecture
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
TEN STEPS TOWARDS THE CONSTRUCTION OF A MIDDLE-LEVEL THEORY.
Date : 13 May 2020
Speakers : Professor Nancy Cartwright
Location : Virtual via the Collaborate platform
ABOUT THE LECTURE
Middle-level theory has several uses. It can help predict if a programme might be expected to work in a particular setting. It offers insights into what programme design features are needed to help ensure success. It provides invaluable information for monitoring the programme to see if it is on track as time progresses and for fixing some of the problems that arise. It also reveals the causal processes and related assumptions to be tested in an evaluation. This in turn can help in identifying evaluation questions. Finally, the theory can help in interpreting evaluation findings and assessing their relevance and locating a description of them that can be helpful for programme design and evaluation in other settings. This talk will illustrate the construction of a middle-level theory of change to serve these purposes, in 10 steps. Watch the recording here: Link to recording Slides for the lecture: PDF of slides
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
META-ETHNOGRAPHY TO BUILD MIDDLE-RANGE THEORIES: AN EXPLORATION IN THREE CASE STUDIES
Date : 6 May 2020
Speakers : Audrey Prost
Location : Virtual
ABOUT THE LECTURE
This lecture will explore the use of meta-ethnography to build middle-range theories that support the development and evaluation of interventions. It will draw on three examples from public health, education, and sustainability research. Slides for the lecture can be found here: Presentation slides Watch the recording here: Link to Recording
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
USING EVIDENCE IN POLICY AND PRACTICE – LESSONS FROM AFRICA.
Date : 22 April 2020
Speakers : Ian Goldman, Mine Pabari and Laurenz Langer
ABOUT THE LECTURE
This lecture draws from eight cases studies of evidence use in Africa, to draw out an lessons for promoting evidence use by government. The research is being published in a book available in June. The presentation can be found here: Presentation Slides The recording of the lecture can be found here: Recorded Lecture
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
TRIALS AND TRIBULATIONS OF COLLECTING EVIDENCE ON EFFECTIVENESS IN DISABILITY INCLUSIVE DEVELOPMENT
Date : 11 March 2020
Speakers : Professor Hannah Kuper
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
There are at least one billion people with disabilities globally, and they are falling behind in all measures of development, whether education, employment or poverty. This gap is an important issue not just in terms of development, but because it represents a violation of human rights, and has negative impacts on the lives of people with disabilities and their families. Action is therefore urgently needed to close these gaps between people with and without disabilities. But there are important hurdles to overcome in this mission. The current evidence base is (very) poor on what works and what does not in terms of disability-inclusive development. More evidence is therefore needed, but there are methodological issues in collecting this data, including how to measure disability, which outcomes are most important, and how to meaningfully include people with disabilities in this research. Another concern is that the mechanisms by which we can use evidence on disability-inclusion to inform policy and practice are weak, and little funding is available to support disability inclusion. This talk will discuss these issues, providing practical examples. It will introduce PENDA – a new DFID-funded initiative to collect evidence on disability-inclusive development – and describe how PENDA is trying to overcome the hurdles to improving evidence quality and availability. The lecture will be livestreamed, please click on the link to go to the recording: Livestream Link
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
MEASURING THE ‘HARD TO MEASURE’ IN DEVELOPMENT: ABSTRACT, MULTI-DIMENSIONAL CONCEPTS AND PROCESSES
Date : 04 March 2020
Speakers : Dr Anne Buffardi
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
Development is a multi-dimensional, imprecise concept. Initiatives that aim to improve development attempt to address entrenched economic and social issues, increasingly through multi-component programmes, involve diverse sets of stakeholders pursuing different, sometimes competing interests, and must adapt to shifting contexts. They operate under conditions of uncertainty and complexity. Each of these factors poses challenges for measurement validity and reliability. Based on common challenges that arose through development initiatives, we identified four hard-to-measure dimensions of development: abstract, multi-dimensional concepts, processes, and issues; challenging settings where there are unpredictable, sudden, or frequent shifts in the environment; multiple, uncertain pathways of change; and multi-layer implementing structures. This lecture focuses on the first dimension, discussing construct validity and three examples of multi-faceted concepts: evidence-informed decision-making, youth transitions to adulthood and human rights-based approaches to development.
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
FIVE CHALLENGES IN THE DESIGN AND PRACTICE OF IMPLEMENTATION SCIENCE TRIALS FOR HIV PREVENTION AND TREATMENT
Date : 19 February 2020
Speakers : James Hargreaves
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
Identifying programme implementation strategies that most effectively strengthen the HIV treatment and prevention cascades in Africa is a pressing global priority. Rigorous trials that compare outcomes under different strategies have a role to play. However, there are challenges associated with making such trials: Feasible to undertake, Useful for onward policy making, Rigorous and unbiased, Relevant to “real-life” and Informative. In other words, they need to be FURRI, but making them so is not simple. I will discuss these challenges (and some possible solutions), with examples from the field of HIV prevention and treatment. The lecture will be live streamed and can be found at this link from the start of the lecture: Live Recording
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
USING EVIDENCE IN HUMANITARIAN DECISION-MAKING
Date : Wednesday 29 January 2020
Speakers : Sheree Bennett
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
IRC has made a commitment for 100 percent of its interventions to become evidence-based or evidence-generating in all its programming by 2020. To achieve this, IRC undertook an extensive program of evidence mapping to develop the Outcomes to Evidence Framework (OEF), a tool that clearly defines the outcomes IRC aims to achieve and corresponding pathways or theories of change and synthesizes the evidence for what works to achieve these targeted outcomes. This talk will focus on the OEF and other efforts to increase the use of evidence, the challenges and successes experienced to date and lessons for other agencies wishing to adopt a more evidence-based approach. A live recording can be viewed here: Live Lecture A copy of for the slides can be found here: Presentation Slides
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
HOW THE GLOBAL INNOVATION FUND USES IMPACT FORECASTS TO GUIDE INVESTMENT DECISIONS
Date : Wednesday 4 December 2019
Speakers : Ken Chomitz
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
The Global Innovation Fund invests in early-stage innovations, public and private, that have the potential for large social impact at scale. GIF seeks to maximize that impact. It does so with an impact forecasting and methodology tailored to its evidence-based, venture-capital-like approach. The “Practical Impact” methodology is distinctive in applying a universal impact metric to all outcomes, in projecting long-term impact, and in adjusting impact for risk. The talk will explore the design philosophy behind Practical Impact, the way it incorporates evidence, how it is implemented, and plans for future elaboration. The lecture was recorded, however, technical difficulties meant we last the beginning of the lecture. The rest can be found at this link: Lecture Recording
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
TURNING ‘EVIDENCE FOR DEVELOPMENT’ ON ITS HEAD
Date : Wednesday 30th October 2019
Speakers : Ruth Stewart
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
In an era of decoloniality, post-‘development’, and antipatriarchy, the evidence-based movement in the North is failing to move with the times and as a result is outdated and risks being ineffective. Living and working in the global South, I experience a world in which innovation in evidence-informed decision-making and its related methodologies are necessary, routine and inspirational, and yet they are largely ignored by the global North. Whilst resource-poor, and not well publicised, the evidence community across Africa is world-leading in a number of respects. This lecture is a call to arms for all those who want to ensure that better evidence leads to better decisions and to better futures for those living in resource poor environments. It proposes a new lens through which to view ‘evidence for development’. It celebrates the successes of Southern evidence communities, achieved largely in spite of, and not because of, Northern good intentions. The recording can be watched by going to this link A copy of Ruth’s slides can be found here: Ruth’s Presentation Slides
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
MAKING DATA REUSABLE: LESSONS FROM REPLICATIONS OF IMPACT EVALUATIONS
Date : Wednesday 9th October 2019
Speakers : Marie Gaarder and Sayak Khatua
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
In recent years, efforts to replicate the findings in scientific studies indicate that many results cannot be verified. In other words, reported findings cannot be reproduced using the original dataset and analysis code. The ‘replication crisis’ (as it has come to be known) appears to be a cross-disciplinary challenge. While this has led to a call for more replications, in practice there are few incentives for doing so. In the international development sector, there is an emphasis on developing interventions and policies that are grounded in rigorous evidence. Given the limited resoures available to tackle large scale challenges, it is imperative to ensure policymaking and programming draw upon lessons learned from evaluations of development interventions. But, given the replication crisis, how reliable is this evidence? In its role as a producer and synthesizer of evidence, the International Initiative for Impact Evaluation (3ie) funds impact evaluations of development interventions and policies in low- and middle-income countries. In 2018, we embarked on a project to replicate published evaluation results using the data and analysis code submitted by evaluation teams. The talk will present the findings from this effort and discuss lessons learned and possible recommendations for various actors, hopefully with active participation from the audience. This lecture will be livestreamed at this address, please click here to listen Slides for the lecture can be downloaded by clicking here
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
EVIDENCE FOR ACTION IN NEW SETTINGS: THE IMPORTANCE OF MIDDLE-LEVEL THEORY
Date : Wednesday 5th June 2019
Speakers : Nancy Cartwright
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
For predicting intervention outcomes in a new setting you need a context-local causal model of what is expected to happen there. A theory of change (ToC) for the intervention is a starting point. ToCs are ‘middle-level theories’: they aim for some, but not universal, general applicability. These are typically ‘arrows-and-variables’ models depicting what steps should occur in sequence but not the interactive factors necessary at each step, nor possible interrupters/defeaters. For policy prediction these theories need context-local thickening. This requires an understanding of how each step produces the next, which in turn calls for middle-level theory of a different kind: the middle-level principles (mechanisms) that govern that production. The context-local model allows better prediction of whether an intervention can work there, what it would take for it to do, what side effects might be and whether all this is affordable and acceptable in the context. The lecture can be viewed at this link and a copy of the slides can be downloaded by clicking on this link
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
DESIGNING EVALUATIONS TO INFORM ACTION IN NEW SETTINGS
Date : Wednesday 22nd May
Speakers : Calum Davey
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
This presentation will be based on a CEDIL inception report. The report drew on the perspectives of more than five academic disciplines — from epidemiology to philosophy — and reviewed a diverse range of literature on the task of ‘learning for elsewhere’, addressing the questions: what is learned in evaluations of complex interventions that is useful for future decision making, and how can this be improved? Suggested answers all involved theory, begging questions about which setting theories apply, and how to know quickly. The notion of context-centred interventions challenged the sentiment that learning ‘what works?’ or even ‘how does it work?’ helps when in fact approaches to knowing ‘why is outcome occurring?’ would be more useful. A copy of the slides from this presentation can be found by clicking on this link
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
LEARNING AND ADAPTING IN DEVELOPMENT PRACTICE
Date : Wednesday 15th May
Speakers : Patrick Ward
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
The growth of the global evidence base has provided opportunities to accelerate development through the systematic sharing of evidence of ‘what works’. Context matters however, and the implementation of development programmes requires the ability to learn from and respond to successes and failures on a short time scale and in the face of limited data. This lecture will explore factors influencing the extent to which development programmes are able to adapt in the light of evidence and learning. It will draw from the practical experience of monitoring and evaluating development programmes and supporting government statistics across a range of sectors in developing countries. To watch the livestream, please click on this link To see the slides, please click on this link
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
THE NEED FOR USING THEORY TO CONSIDER THE TRANSFERABILITY OF INTERVENTIONS
Date : Wednesday 8th May 2019
Speakers : Professor Chris Bonell
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
This lecture explores ways that the transferability of interventions to new settings might be modelled statistically and the role of theory in considering the question of transfer. The lecture draws on preliminary results of the realist trial of the Learning Together whole-school health programme in the UK. Unfortunately, technical error has meant the first part of the lecture was not recorded, but the remaining can be found by clicking this link Slides from the lecture can be downloaded by clicking on this link
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
USING RCTS TO EVALUATE SOCIAL INTERVENTIONS: HAVE WE GOT IT RIGHT?
Date : Wednesday 27th March 2019
Speakers : Professor Charlotte Watts
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) provide the gold standard method to obtain evidence of intervention impact. Historically, the approach was developed to assess the impact of clinical interventions. Increasingly however, RCTs – both individual and cluster – are being used to assess a broad range of behavioural and social interventions. Although some argue that using randomised designs are not appropriate for evaluating social and community based interventions, we disagree. Whilst there may be challenges (as there often are with clinical interventions), randomisation and the use of control populations should always be considered, as this gives the most robust measure of effect size. But this doesn’t mean that we have everything right. Drawing upon examples from intervention research on HIV, as part of the STRIVE research programme, and on violence against women, as part of the LSHTM Gender, Violence and Health Centre, the presentation will discuss whether it is appropriate to apply all of the standards and ‘rules’, without consideration of the potential implications for the feasibility, forms and applicability of evidence generated. To watch the livestream, please click on this link
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
WHEN CONTEXT IS THE BARRIER: EVALUATING PROGRAMMES DURING POLITICAL TURMOIL
Date : Wednesday 6th March 2019
Speakers : Dr Joanna Busza
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
The importance of “context” in evaluation is increasingly recognised, especially when considering how complex interventions might be scaled-up, adapted or replicated for new settings. Most process evaluation frameworks include documenting contextual characteristics deemed relevant to the intervention’s implementation, such as the structure and function of health systems, cultural norms and practices, and existing laws or policies. The MRC guidelines for process evaluations, for example, suggest using existing theory to identify a priori the factors likely to facilitate or hinder successful implementation of intervention components. This seminar will focus on challenges to design, implementation and evaluation of community-based health programmes when context – at its broadest level – changes in abrupt, unpredictable ways. I will share examples from research in Cambodia, Ethiopia and Zimbabwe, including both negative and positive consequences of dramatic political or policy changes, and discuss implications for completing and interpreting the affected studies. Livestream can be accessedby following this link: Livestream
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
EVIDENCE STANDARDS AND JUSTIFIABLE EVIDENCE CLAIMS
Date : Wednesday 6th February 2019
Speakers : Professor David Gough
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
In developing findings and conclusions from their studies, researchers are making ‘evidence claims’. We therefore need to consider what criteria are used to make and justify such claims. This presentation will consider the use of evidence standards to make evidence claims in relation to primary research, reviews of research (making statements about the nature of an evidence base), and guidance and recommendation informed by research. The aim is to go beyond testing the trustworthiness (quality appraisal) of individual studies to discuss the ways in which evidence standards are used to make evidence claims to inform decisions in policy, practice, and personal decision making. The live audio and slide show recoding can be found by following this link: Live recording of lecture. Please note that recording started early, so please fast forward to 17 minutes. The slides can be downloaded here: Slide show
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT IMPACT EVALUATION AND EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS
Date : Wednesday 23 January 2019
Speakers : Professor Sandy Oliver
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
This lecture explores methods for engaging stakeholders in making decisions for international aid and social development in the presence and absence of relevant research. It draws on empirical evidence about engaging stakeholders in the generation and use of evidence, taking into account political analysis, social psychology and systems thinking. It finds that the suitability of methods for engagement depends largely on the confidence that can be placed in knowledge about the specific context, and knowledge from elsewhere that seems theoretically or statistically transferable. When decisions are about generating new knowledge, the suitability of methods for engagement depends largely on whether the purpose is to generate knowledge for a specific context or for more generalizable use and, at the outset, the confidence and consensus underpinning the key concepts of interest. The Lecture will be available to view live at the link below. Live Recording
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
TO BOLDLY GO WHERE NO EVALUATOR HAS GONE BEFORE: THE CEDIL EVALUATION AGENDA
Date : Wednesday 12th December 2018
Speakers : Dr Edoardo Masset
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
In this lecture I will introduce the newly established Centre of Excellence on Development Impact and Learning (CEDIL). CEDIL was established by the UK Department for International Development to develop new evaluation methods and to commission evaluation and synthesis studies in neglected areas of international development. Over its inception phase CEDIL identified key methodological evaluation challenges to address and priority thematic areas. The talk will illustrate CEDIL’s ambitious evaluation agenda over the next 5 years, and will be followed by Q&A and discussion. The Lecture will be available to view live at the link below. Live Recording
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
INTERVENTION TO FOSTER EARLY CHILDHOOD DEVELOPMENT EVALUATION, SUSTAINABILITY AND SCALABILITY
Date : Wednesday 28th November 2018
Speakers : Professor Orazio Attanasio
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
Early Childhood Interventions have recently received much attention. The consensus is that ECD interventions can ‘work’ and be very effective and important. The new challenges however are: (i) understand how interventions work and how they obtain the observed effects, through which channels, at what age, and so on, and (ii) how to scale up effective interventions. The answer to the second question is related to the answer of the first. Orazio will present some concrete examples of these issues in this lecture. Watch the recording here
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
UNCERTAINTY AND ITS CONSEQUENCES IN SOCIAL POLICY EVALUATION AND EVIDENCE-BASED DECISION MAKING
Date : Wednesday 31st October 2018
Speakers : Doctor Matthew Jukes
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
The methodologies of RCTs and systematic reviews imply a high level of rigor in evidence-based decision-making. When these standards are not met, how should decision-makers act? When a clear body of evidence is not available, there is a risk that action is delayed or that action is taken without optimal use of the existing evidence. This paper addresses the following question: what level of certainty is required for which kinds of decisions? We argue that decisions should be based on considerations of both the uncertainty and the consequences of all possible outcomes. We present a framework for making decisions on partial evidence that has implications for the generation of evidence too. More systematic analysis of uncertainty and its consequences can improve approaches to decision-making and to the generation of evidence. Watch the lecture here Download the lecture slides here LIDC podcast on Innovative approaches to evaluation and evidence synthesis Please also see his blog post on this topic by following the link here
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
USING MID-LEVEL THEORY TO UNDERSTAND BEHAVIOUR CHANGE EXAMPLES FROM HEALTH AND EVIDENCE-BASED POLICY
Date : Thursday 30th August 2018
Speakers : Doctor Howard White
Location: New Delhi, India
ABOUT THE LECTURE
Mid-level (or mid-range) theory rests between a project-level theory of change and grand theory. The specification and testing of mid-level theories help support the generalizability and transferability of study findings. For example, in economics, the operation of the price mechanism to balance supply and demand is a grand theory. An agricultural fertilizer subsidy programme would have a project-level theory which partly draws on the theory of supply and demand (lowering price increases demand). A mid-level theory could be developed related to the use of price subsidies, of which the fertilizer programme would be a specific application. This talk will adopt the transtheoretical model of behaviour change to apply mid-level theory to the analysis of two sets of interventions: the adoption of health behaviour, and promoting evidence-based policy change. Watch the lecture here (currently in several parts) Download the lecture slides here
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
DEVELOPMENT IMPACT ATTRIBUTION: MENTAL MODELS AND METHODS IN ‘MIXED MARRIAGE’ EVALUATIONS
Date : Wednesday 18th July 2018
Speakers : Professor James Copestake
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
The marriage metaphor will be used to explore collaboration that spans academic traditions and disciplines, researchers and managers, public and private sector agencies. The idea of mental models will be used to explore the ontological, epistemological, contractual and socio-political tensions created by formalised evaluative practice. It will focus particularly on experience with mixing qualitative impact evaluation with other approaches to generating evidence, and learning and legitimising public action. It will draw on case studies from the garment industry, medical training, housing micro-finance and agriculture spanning three continents. Watch the recorded lecture here
ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
REPRESENTING THEORIES OF CHANGE: TECHNICAL CHALLENGES AND EVALUATION CONSEQUENCES
Date : Wednesday 30th May 2018
Speakers : Doctor Rick Davies
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
This lecture will summarise the main points of a paper of the same name. That paper looks at the technical issues associated with the representation of Theories of Change and the implications of design choices for the evaluability of those theories. The focus is on the description of connections between events, rather than the events themselves because this is seen as a widespread design weakness. Using examples and evidence from a range of internet sources, six structural problems are described along with their consequences for evaluation. The paper then outlines six different ways of addressing these problems which could be used by programme designers and evaluators. These solutions range from simple to follow advice on designing more adequate diagrams; to the use of specialist software for the manipulation of much more complex static and dynamic network models. The paper concludes with some caution, speculating on why the design problems are so endemic but also pointing a way forward. Three strands of work are identified that CEDIL and DfID could invest in to develop solutions identified in the paper. Watch the recorded lecture here
THE FOUR WAVES OF THE EVIDENCE REVOLUTION: PROGRESS AND CHALLENGES IN EVIDENCE-BASED POLICY AND PRACTICE
Date : Wednesday 11th April 2018
Speakers : Doctor Howard White
Location: London
ABOUT THE LECTURE
The evidence movement has rolled out in four waves since the 1990s : the results agenda, the rise of RCTs, systematic reviews, and developing an evidence architecture. This revolution is uneven across sectors and countries and is an unfinished revolution. Drawing on experiences from around the world, this talk will provide a historical overview of the evidence movement and the challenges it faces. Response from these challenges will be considered, including those offered by the work of CEDIL. Watch the recorded lecture here