Methods Working Paper 1
Nancy Cartwright, Lucy Charlton, Matt Juden, Tamlyn Munslow and Richard Beadon Williams
This paper provides an account of how a ‘causal–process–tracing theory of change’ can be very helpful for programme prediction, planning and evaluation. The paper uses case studies as running examples to illustrate how this type of detailed theory of change would be built.
Suggested citation: Cartwright, N., Charlton, L., Juden, M., Munslow, T., and Williams, R. B. (2020. ) ‘Making predictions of programme success more reliable’. CEDIL Methods Working Paper 1. Oxford: Centre of Excellence for Development Impact and Learning (CEDIL). Available at: https://doi.org/10.51744/CMWP1
